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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+1.58vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+2.88vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.52+0.63vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.72+0.94vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35-2.53vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.40vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.60-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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4.88Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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3.63Villanova University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.94Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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2.47Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.6SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.9Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 29.3% | 26.7% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Townsend Morey | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 24.0% |
| Erin McGarry | 13.0% | 15.1% | 22.1% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 24.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 32.2% | 26.5% | 18.8% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 18.0% |
| Henry Proud | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 22.2% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.