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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.25+0.56vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.61vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35-2.50vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-1.03vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.60-1.91vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.72-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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2.56University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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4.61SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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2.5Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.97Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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5.09Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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4.79Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 16.4% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 5.4% |
| Jensen McTighe | 28.4% | 27.7% | 19.8% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 18.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 31.2% | 25.7% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Townsend Morey | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 26.0% |
| Henry Proud | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 21.8% | 28.2% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 23.6% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.