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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+1.58vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+1.55vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35-0.57vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.72+0.97vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.36vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-2.13vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.60-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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3.55Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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2.43Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.97Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.64SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.87Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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4.97Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 29.6% | 27.0% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Max Gillette | 13.5% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 32.9% | 26.1% | 20.1% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 21.7% | 24.6% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 18.6% |
| Townsend Morey | 6.3% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 20.6% | 23.5% |
| Henry Proud | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 23.6% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.