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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.33+1.25vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+0.92vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.26-0.19vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29-0.34vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.42-1.16vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.05-2.90vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.92-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Webb Institute1.330.4%1st Place
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2.92SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
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3.81Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.66Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.1%1st Place
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4.84Drexel University-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.1Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
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5.43Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Tinnell | 39.6% | 25.7% | 16.3% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| James Gilmore III | 21.2% | 25.4% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Curtis Aaron | 11.9% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 20.3% | 22.2% | 17.4% |
| Abigail Proko | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 21.3% |
| Zak Dasaro | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 10.2% |
| Haber Carlson | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.