← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.33+1.25vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+0.92vs Predicted
-
3Villanova University0.26+0.81vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University-0.42-0.12vs Predicted
-
6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29-1.37vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University0.05-2.91vs Predicted
-
8Washington College-0.92-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.25Webb Institute1.330.4%1st Place
-
2.92SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
-
3.81Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
-
4.88Drexel University-0.420.1%1st Place
-
4.63Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.1%1st Place
-
4.09Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
-
5.42Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Tinnell | 39.6% | 25.5% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| James Gilmore III | 21.3% | 24.9% | 20.7% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Curtis Aaron | 11.9% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
| Abigail Proko | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 19.2% | 23.0% | 22.0% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 21.3% | 17.8% |
| Zak Dasaro | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 9.9% |
| Haber Carlson | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.