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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.33+1.23vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.26+1.74vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.04vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.42-0.13vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.05-1.88vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29-2.36vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.92-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Webb Institute1.330.4%1st Place
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3.74Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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2.96SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
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4.87Drexel University-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.12Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
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4.64Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.1%1st Place
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5.44Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Tinnell | 39.5% | 27.5% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 12.1% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 11.6% | 6.4% |
| James Gilmore III | 21.6% | 24.3% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 5.5% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 22.6% | 22.3% |
| Zak Dasaro | 8.9% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 10.0% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 7.6% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 21.3% | 18.2% |
| Haber Carlson | 4.8% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 21.9% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.