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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.33+1.25vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+0.94vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.42+1.84vs Predicted
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5Villanova University0.26-1.23vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.05-1.86vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29-2.40vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.92-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Webb Institute1.330.4%1st Place
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2.94SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
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4.84Drexel University-0.420.1%1st Place
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3.77Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.14Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
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4.6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.1%1st Place
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5.46Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Tinnell | 39.9% | 23.9% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| James Gilmore III | 21.0% | 25.8% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Abigail Proko | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 21.5% |
| Curtis Aaron | 12.3% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 5.6% |
| Zak Dasaro | 8.7% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 10.4% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 21.0% | 18.2% |
| Haber Carlson | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.