← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University-1.38+2.32vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.81+1.04vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.52+0.77vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College0.58+1.38vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.09-1.04vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami-0.03+0.45vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University0.01-0.63vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University-0.27-1.17vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University0.65-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32Jacksonville University-1.3821.1%1st Place
-
3.04College of Charleston1.8125.6%1st Place
-
3.77Old Dominion University1.5214.9%1st Place
-
5.38Rollins College0.587.1%1st Place
-
3.96University of South Florida1.0914.3%1st Place
-
6.45University of Miami-0.034.5%1st Place
-
6.37North Carolina State University0.013.8%1st Place
-
6.83Florida State University-0.273.5%1st Place
-
5.88Christopher Newport University0.655.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 21.1% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 25.6% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Marina Conde | 14.9% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 7.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.3% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 23.4% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 20.9% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 19.9% | 31.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.