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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.33+1.25vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+0.92vs Predicted
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3Villanova University0.26+0.79vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.42+0.87vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.05-0.87vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29-2.39vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.92-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Webb Institute1.330.4%1st Place
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2.92SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
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3.79Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.87Drexel University-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.13Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
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4.61Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.1%1st Place
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5.43Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Tinnell | 39.7% | 26.0% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| James Gilmore III | 21.5% | 25.0% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 11.9% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 7.2% |
| Abigail Proko | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 22.9% | 22.4% |
| Zak Dasaro | 8.8% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 9.7% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 7.9% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 17.5% |
| Haber Carlson | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 21.0% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.