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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.33+1.24vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.26+1.74vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.04vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.42-0.12vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29-1.34vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.05-2.89vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.92-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Webb Institute1.330.4%1st Place
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3.74Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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2.96SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
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4.88Drexel University-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.66Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.1%1st Place
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4.11Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
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5.42Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Tinnell | 39.7% | 25.9% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Curtis Aaron | 12.3% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 6.3% |
| James Gilmore III | 21.0% | 25.2% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Abigail Proko | 5.6% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 22.2% | 22.2% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 21.8% | 17.9% |
| Zak Dasaro | 10.1% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 10.0% |
| Haber Carlson | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.