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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.33+1.21vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.26+1.72vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.42+1.86vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.92+1.62vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.00vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.05-1.91vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Webb Institute1.330.4%1st Place
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3.72Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.86Drexel University-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.62Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
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3.0SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
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4.09Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
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4.5Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Tinnell | 41.2% | 23.7% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Curtis Aaron | 11.6% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 5.2% |
| Abigail Proko | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 22.5% |
| Haber Carlson | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 20.5% | 44.6% |
| James Gilmore III | 18.9% | 25.7% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Zak Dasaro | 10.3% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 8.5% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 9.3% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 19.7% | 19.9% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.