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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.33+1.22vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.26+1.73vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology-0.29+1.66vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.02vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.42-0.14vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.05-1.89vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.92-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Webb Institute1.330.4%1st Place
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3.73Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.66Stevens Institute of Technology-0.290.1%1st Place
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2.98SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
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4.86Drexel University-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.11Princeton University0.050.1%1st Place
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5.44Washington College-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Tinnell | 40.1% | 25.5% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Curtis Aaron | 11.2% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 5.9% |
| Jesse Stevenson | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 20.2% | 18.4% |
| James Gilmore III | 21.8% | 22.4% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Abigail Proko | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 22.7% | 22.1% |
| Zak Dasaro | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 10.8% |
| Haber Carlson | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 20.7% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.