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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.04+1.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.64+0.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.51+0.18vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.01+1.48vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.24-1.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University-0.81-1.89vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.76-1.50vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-2.11-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Brown University1.040.3%1st Place
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2.96Brown University0.640.2%1st Place
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3.18Tufts University0.510.2%1st Place
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5.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.54Northeastern University0.240.1%1st Place
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5.11Tufts University-0.810.1%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.760.0%1st Place
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6.84Brandeis University-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Biondi | 34.2% | 26.6% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sloane Kratzman | 21.2% | 22.4% | 21.3% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Friedman | 17.9% | 20.4% | 20.1% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Juan Colon | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 17.9% | 24.2% | 22.9% | 10.6% |
| Romain Astie | 13.9% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 19.8% | 18.0% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Foster | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 23.0% | 15.6% | 8.0% |
| William Tagliamonte | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 29.0% | 34.5% |
| Andy Hoffman | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 13.4% | 25.0% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.