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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.04+1.39vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.64+0.97vs Predicted
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3Tufts University-0.81+2.10vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.01+1.48vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.24-1.44vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.51-2.86vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-2.11-1.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.76-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Brown University1.040.3%1st Place
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2.97Brown University0.640.2%1st Place
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5.1Tufts University-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.56Northeastern University0.240.1%1st Place
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3.14Tufts University0.510.2%1st Place
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6.9Brandeis University-2.110.0%1st Place
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6.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Biondi | 34.7% | 24.7% | 20.0% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sloane Kratzman | 20.9% | 23.0% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Foster | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 23.4% | 18.3% | 7.3% |
| Juan Colon | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 24.1% | 23.0% | 10.4% |
| Romain Astie | 13.5% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Jessica Friedman | 18.3% | 21.1% | 19.0% | 21.1% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Andy Hoffman | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 20.4% | 52.4% |
| William Tagliamonte | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 32.5% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.