← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University0.24+2.46vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.04+0.44vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University-0.81+2.16vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.51-0.84vs Predicted
-
5Brown University0.64-2.02vs Predicted
-
7Brandeis University-2.11-0.14vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.01-2.51vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.76-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.46Northeastern University0.240.2%1st Place
-
2.44Brown University1.040.3%1st Place
-
5.16Tufts University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
3.16Tufts University0.510.2%1st Place
-
2.98Brown University0.640.2%1st Place
-
6.86Brandeis University-2.110.0%1st Place
-
5.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.010.0%1st Place
-
6.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Astie | 15.7% | 14.8% | 21.0% | 19.5% | 18.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Biondi | 32.5% | 26.0% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Foster | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 24.8% | 17.5% | 8.2% |
| Jessica Friedman | 18.1% | 21.4% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sloane Kratzman | 21.8% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Andy Hoffman | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 13.1% | 24.3% | 48.0% |
| Juan Colon | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 24.7% | 19.8% | 13.2% |
| William Tagliamonte | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 32.6% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.