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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.51+2.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University-0.81+3.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.04-0.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.64-1.04vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.24-1.44vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.01-1.57vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-2.11-1.11vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.76-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Tufts University0.510.2%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.43Brown University1.040.3%1st Place
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2.96Brown University0.640.2%1st Place
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3.56Northeastern University0.240.1%1st Place
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5.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.89Brandeis University-2.110.0%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Friedman | 19.7% | 21.5% | 19.3% | 19.9% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Foster | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 20.0% | 24.0% | 19.6% | 7.1% |
| Aidan Biondi | 32.8% | 24.4% | 21.1% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sloane Kratzman | 21.4% | 22.5% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Romain Astie | 13.0% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Juan Colon | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 25.2% | 20.7% | 10.2% |
| Andy Hoffman | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 21.6% | 52.0% |
| William Tagliamonte | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 18.3% | 31.2% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.