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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.24+2.49vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.64+0.98vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.51+0.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.04-1.55vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.01-0.50vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-2.11-0.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.76-1.49vs Predicted
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9Tufts University-0.81-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Northeastern University0.240.1%1st Place
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2.98Brown University0.640.2%1st Place
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3.12Tufts University0.510.2%1st Place
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2.45Brown University1.040.3%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.86Brandeis University-2.110.0%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.760.0%1st Place
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5.1Tufts University-0.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Astie | 14.6% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Sloane Kratzman | 21.4% | 21.3% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Friedman | 20.1% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Biondi | 31.6% | 26.0% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Juan Colon | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 24.7% | 24.6% | 9.4% |
| Andy Hoffman | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 13.4% | 23.0% | 48.8% |
| William Tagliamonte | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 31.4% | 33.3% |
| Kelsey Foster | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 21.7% | 24.5% | 15.3% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.