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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley2.12+6.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine3.43+2.33vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90+0.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California3.12+0.31vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University2.15+2.04vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.83-3.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles2.28-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon1.97-0.43vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.77+2.04vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.96+0.52vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.10-0.61vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-3.25vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands1.09-2.87vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay1.64-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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3.34Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Southern California3.120.1%1st Place
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8.04Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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3.49University of Hawaii3.830.2%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Los Angeles2.280.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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12.04Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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11.52Northwestern University0.960.0%1st Place
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11.39University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
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9.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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11.13California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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9.53California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Benton | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Rex Cameron | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 22.6% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dahl | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| William Peterson | 20.9% | 20.0% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morton | 4.6% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Balter | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 27.7% |
| Nicholas Campbell | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 21.2% |
| Connor Bescos | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 17.5% |
| Erik Lund | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
| Andrew Domingos | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 16.2% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.