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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.72+0.53vs Predicted
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2Tufts University-0.75+2.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.06+0.31vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.27-0.21vs Predicted
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5Brown University-0.54-0.81vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.12-0.96vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-2.53-0.06vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.31-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Tufts University1.720.6%1st Place
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4.55Tufts University-0.750.0%1st Place
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3.31Brown University0.060.1%1st Place
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3.79Northeastern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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4.19Brown University-0.540.1%1st Place
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5.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.120.0%1st Place
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6.94Brandeis University-2.530.0%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristina Puzak | 63.6% | 24.7% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose O'Neal | 4.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 3.0% |
| Juan Briano | 11.8% | 24.1% | 21.9% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Maguire | 8.0% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Camden Baer | 6.1% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Jacob Philbrook | 4.0% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 23.5% | 17.5% | 6.2% |
| Jolie Gentzkow-Foster | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 23.5% | 52.4% |
| Thomas Solano | 0.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 14.0% | 32.4% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.