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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.06+2.23vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.72-0.44vs Predicted
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3Brown University-0.54+1.21vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.27-0.19vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.12+0.06vs Predicted
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6Tufts University-0.75-1.50vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.31-0.27vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-2.53-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Brown University0.060.1%1st Place
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1.56Tufts University1.720.6%1st Place
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4.21Brown University-0.540.1%1st Place
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3.81Northeastern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.120.0%1st Place
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4.5Tufts University-0.750.1%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.310.0%1st Place
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6.9Brandeis University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Briano | 12.8% | 24.8% | 22.8% | 18.2% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kristina Puzak | 60.8% | 26.5% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Baer | 7.0% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Bridget Maguire | 8.1% | 16.3% | 21.0% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Philbrook | 3.5% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 24.5% | 17.1% | 5.3% |
| Rose O'Neal | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Thomas Solano | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 29.4% | 41.8% |
| Jolie Gentzkow-Foster | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 10.5% | 29.1% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.