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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.72+0.51vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.12+3.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.06+0.32vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.27-0.19vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-2.53+1.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University-0.75-1.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.31-0.31vs Predicted
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8Brown University-0.54-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51Tufts University1.720.6%1st Place
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5.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.120.0%1st Place
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3.32Brown University0.060.1%1st Place
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3.81Northeastern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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6.93Brandeis University-2.530.0%1st Place
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4.49Tufts University-0.750.1%1st Place
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6.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.310.0%1st Place
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4.16Brown University-0.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristina Puzak | 64.5% | 23.9% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Philbrook | 3.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 25.0% | 18.1% | 5.9% |
| Juan Briano | 11.6% | 23.9% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Maguire | 7.9% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Jolie Gentzkow-Foster | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 27.1% | 48.2% |
| Rose O'Neal | 6.2% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Solano | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 29.8% | 40.4% |
| Camden Baer | 4.6% | 14.0% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.