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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University-0.27+2.70vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.72-0.46vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.12+2.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.06-0.64vs Predicted
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5Tufts University-0.75-0.48vs Predicted
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6Brown University-0.54-1.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.31-0.26vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-2.53-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Northeastern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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1.54Tufts University1.720.6%1st Place
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5.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.120.0%1st Place
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3.36Brown University0.060.1%1st Place
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4.52Tufts University-0.750.0%1st Place
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4.18Brown University-0.540.1%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.310.0%1st Place
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6.92Brandeis University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Maguire | 8.8% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Kristina Puzak | 62.5% | 24.8% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Philbrook | 3.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 23.4% | 17.2% | 6.0% |
| Juan Briano | 11.3% | 22.1% | 23.5% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Rose O'Neal | 4.8% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 20.0% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Camden Baer | 6.7% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Solano | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 28.4% | 42.5% |
| Jolie Gentzkow-Foster | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 30.9% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.