← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.72+0.53vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University-0.27+1.80vs Predicted
-
3Brown University0.06+0.30vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.12+1.08vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University-0.75-0.45vs Predicted
-
6Brown University-0.54-1.85vs Predicted
-
7Brandeis University-2.53-0.07vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.31-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.53Tufts University1.720.6%1st Place
-
3.8Northeastern University-0.270.1%1st Place
-
3.3Brown University0.060.1%1st Place
-
5.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.120.0%1st Place
-
4.55Tufts University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
4.15Brown University-0.540.1%1st Place
-
6.93Brandeis University-2.530.0%1st Place
-
6.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristina Puzak | 63.4% | 24.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Maguire | 8.6% | 15.9% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Juan Briano | 12.4% | 22.6% | 24.0% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Philbrook | 2.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 23.5% | 18.6% | 5.9% |
| Rose O'Neal | 4.6% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 18.3% | 12.1% | 2.6% |
| Camden Baer | 6.5% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 21.9% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Jolie Gentzkow-Foster | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 23.3% | 52.2% |
| Thomas Solano | 0.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 14.7% | 32.5% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.