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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+1.98vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+0.89vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.31+3.84vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.33+0.56vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.02+0.22vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.26+0.91vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.77-2.37vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.15-1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.79-2.12vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-1.93+0.45vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.2%1st Place
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2.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.3%1st Place
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6.84University of Wisconsin1.310.0%1st Place
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4.56Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.22Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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6.91Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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5.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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7.04Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
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11.45Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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10.62Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrson Pearce | 24.7% | 22.8% | 20.0% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 27.5% | 23.6% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Sullivan | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Andre Guaragna | 9.6% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Harrison George | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 18.9% | 23.7% | 9.9% | 1.3% |
| Justin Harler | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 19.4% | 72.4% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 8.6% | 53.5% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.