Race 4A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Scott Sullivan 3.8% 5.1% 5.0% 6.8% 9.0% 11.4% 11.7% 12.3% 15.5% 15.7% 3.5% 0.2%
Carrson Pearce 25.1% 24.9% 19.2% 12.9% 7.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Vincent Yannelli 6.6% 7.4% 7.3% 12.6% 11.3% 11.7% 13.7% 12.6% 9.8% 5.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Andre Guaragna 11.4% 11.9% 15.0% 15.0% 14.2% 11.9% 8.6% 6.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Kyle Easton 27.7% 21.0% 19.8% 11.8% 9.9% 4.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 5.3% 7.6% 7.7% 9.4% 11.1% 11.7% 12.3% 13.5% 11.3% 8.0% 2.0% 0.1%
Raymond Groble IV 9.8% 9.5% 11.5% 13.2% 12.5% 12.8% 11.7% 8.9% 6.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Harrison George 2.3% 3.8% 5.2% 4.0% 4.8% 7.2% 10.0% 11.8% 15.1% 24.5% 9.8% 1.5%
Justin Harler 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 3.9% 19.9% 71.4%
Joel Yuhas 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 3.5% 9.1% 51.2% 25.8%
Paul Hart 3.9% 3.8% 5.7% 6.4% 7.6% 10.9% 12.7% 13.4% 17.7% 12.5% 4.8% 0.6%
Alex Fowkes 3.7% 4.7% 2.7% 6.1% 9.6% 9.2% 10.7% 16.0% 14.7% 15.8% 6.6% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.