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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+2.32vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+0.91vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.65+1.83vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.01+1.44vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52-2.28vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.03-0.63vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.58-2.57vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-0.27-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Jacksonville University-1.3821.9%1st Place
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3.09College of Charleston1.8122.6%1st Place
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3.91University of South Florida1.0915.2%1st Place
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5.83Christopher Newport University0.655.0%1st Place
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6.44North Carolina State University0.013.5%1st Place
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3.72Old Dominion University1.5216.6%1st Place
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6.37University of Miami-0.034.2%1st Place
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5.43Rollins College0.587.6%1st Place
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6.9Florida State University-0.273.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 21.9% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 22.6% | 22.1% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.2% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 13.6% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 22.6% |
| Marina Conde | 16.6% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 21.2% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 8.4% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.