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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.77+4.83vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.31+4.81vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.79+3.94vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.02+0.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-3.13vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.26-0.16vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-2.00vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.15-1.97vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.33-5.57vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98-0.37vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.93-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Wisconsin1.310.0%1st Place
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2.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.3%1st Place
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7.94University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
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5.24Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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2.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.3%1st Place
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6.84Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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6.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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7.03Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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4.43Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.63Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
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11.46Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yannelli | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Sullivan | 2.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Easton | 25.9% | 24.3% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison George | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 24.9% | 10.6% | 1.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 27.1% | 23.3% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| Andre Guaragna | 12.0% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 9.1% | 51.9% | 26.5% |
| Justin Harler | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 20.0% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.