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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.31+5.85vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+0.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-0.11vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.33+0.53vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.02+0.22vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98+4.60vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.77-2.35vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.26-2.19vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.79-2.16vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.15-3.75vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.93-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85University of Wisconsin1.310.0%1st Place
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2.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.3%1st Place
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2.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.3%1st Place
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4.53Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.22Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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10.6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
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5.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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6.81Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
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7.25Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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11.45Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sullivan | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Easton | 26.1% | 23.9% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 27.8% | 22.8% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 51.6% | 26.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Paul Hart | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Harrison George | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 26.2% | 9.1% | 0.9% |
| Alex Fowkes | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Justin Harler | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 20.2% | 71.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.