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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+1.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.92vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.33+1.46vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.15+3.11vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.79+1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.77-1.42vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.02-2.92vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98+1.64vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-1.93+1.43vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.31-4.10vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.26-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.2%1st Place
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2.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.3%1st Place
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4.46Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.11Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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6.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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5.08Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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10.64Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
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11.43Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Wisconsin1.310.0%1st Place
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6.97Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Easton | 24.5% | 23.8% | 19.5% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 26.4% | 24.2% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 12.3% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 6.1% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison George | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 26.1% | 10.6% | 0.9% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 10.6% | 51.7% | 25.4% |
| Justin Harler | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 17.4% | 72.3% |
| Scott Sullivan | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Paul Hart | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.