Race 13A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kyle Easton 26.4% 23.2% 20.9% 13.5% 7.4% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Andre Guaragna 10.4% 13.7% 16.6% 11.9% 14.7% 11.9% 10.3% 5.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Carrson Pearce 28.3% 23.5% 16.3% 13.5% 9.4% 5.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 4.4% 7.2% 8.1% 11.1% 12.3% 11.2% 13.5% 14.7% 9.6% 6.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Raymond Groble IV 8.4% 8.6% 12.3% 13.8% 12.7% 12.9% 11.7% 8.9% 6.6% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Vincent Yannelli 7.3% 7.3% 8.8% 9.5% 12.2% 12.8% 15.2% 11.7% 8.8% 5.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Ben Rizika 2.6% 2.9% 3.6% 5.1% 5.5% 8.3% 7.4% 12.6% 18.2% 26.6% 6.4% 0.8%
Harrison George 2.3% 3.9% 3.3% 5.0% 6.0% 8.5% 9.8% 11.9% 19.3% 22.7% 7.2% 0.1%
Scott Sullivan 4.5% 3.8% 5.2% 8.3% 10.4% 12.9% 14.1% 15.3% 12.9% 10.4% 2.2% 0.0%
Paul Hart 4.6% 5.5% 4.4% 7.7% 8.4% 10.2% 13.0% 15.8% 15.0% 13.0% 2.2% 0.2%
Ethan Griswold 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.9% 2.3% 4.8% 41.9% 47.3%
Justin Harler 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 2.2% 5.0% 37.9% 51.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.