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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.82+4.53vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+2.10vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.98+2.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+0.70vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.46-1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.74-0.36vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.53-0.98vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-2.71vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.23-0.27vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.41-3.65vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.52-0.37vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-4.65-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53University of Wisconsin1.820.1%1st Place
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4.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
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5.11Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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3.98Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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5.64University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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6.02Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
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5.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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8.73Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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10.63Rochester Institute of Technology-1.520.0%1st Place
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11.94Virginia Tech-4.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Behrend | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 14.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Honke | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 17.4% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Peck | 7.6% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Withington | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 44.5% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Chad Kratina | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 8.0% | 80.6% | 4.1% |
| Joseph Berger | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 3.5% | 95.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.