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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+1.87vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+0.32vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.58+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.03+1.53vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.01+0.39vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52-3.31vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65-2.00vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-0.27-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1College of Charleston1.8124.2%1st Place
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3.87University of South Florida1.0914.8%1st Place
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3.32Jacksonville University-1.3820.0%1st Place
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5.27Rollins College0.587.6%1st Place
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6.53University of Miami-0.033.9%1st Place
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6.39North Carolina State University0.014.2%1st Place
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3.69Old Dominion University1.5217.0%1st Place
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6.0Christopher Newport University0.655.2%1st Place
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6.83Florida State University-0.273.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 24.2% | 18.9% | 20.6% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.8% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Emily Allen | 20.0% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 6.1% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 20.1% | 24.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 22.5% |
| Marina Conde | 17.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 14.6% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.