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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.98+4.18vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+2.09vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+1.73vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.46-0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.41+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.74-0.33vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.53-0.99vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-2.70vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.23-0.29vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.82-4.59vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.52-0.38vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-4.65-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Boston University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.2%1st Place
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4.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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3.95Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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6.39University of Michigan1.410.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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6.01Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
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5.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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8.71Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Wisconsin1.820.1%1st Place
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10.62Rochester Institute of Technology-1.520.0%1st Place
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11.94Virginia Tech-4.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Honke | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 15.4% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 13.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 16.6% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nate Peck | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Withington | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 44.6% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Behrend | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chad Kratina | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 8.8% | 80.4% | 4.1% |
| Joseph Berger | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 3.5% | 95.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.