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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+2.95vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.52+1.69vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+0.11vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.58+1.31vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-1.38-1.73vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.03+0.48vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.65-1.15vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.27-1.14vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.01-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95University of South Florida1.0914.6%1st Place
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3.69Old Dominion University1.5216.7%1st Place
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3.11College of Charleston1.8122.3%1st Place
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5.31Rollins College0.587.5%1st Place
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3.27Jacksonville University-1.3821.9%1st Place
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6.48University of Miami-0.034.0%1st Place
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5.85Christopher Newport University0.655.7%1st Place
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6.86Florida State University-0.273.4%1st Place
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6.46North Carolina State University0.014.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Emma Shakespeare | 14.6% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
Marina Conde | 16.7% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
Bella Shakespeare | 22.3% | 21.5% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Shay Bridge | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
Emily Allen | 21.9% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Arantxa Argibay | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 23.2% |
Grace Watlington | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 13.3% |
Tia Schoening | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 31.6% |
Lyla Solway | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 21.2% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.