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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.65+4.95vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+0.86vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.58+1.42vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.01+1.50vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.27+0.84vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38-3.71vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.03-1.53vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.52-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Christopher Newport University0.654.5%1st Place
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3.0College of Charleston1.8126.2%1st Place
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3.86University of South Florida1.0915.4%1st Place
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5.42Rollins College0.586.4%1st Place
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6.5North Carolina State University0.014.2%1st Place
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6.84Florida State University-0.273.1%1st Place
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3.29Jacksonville University-1.3819.7%1st Place
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6.47University of Miami-0.033.5%1st Place
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3.67Old Dominion University1.5216.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 13.6% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 26.2% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.4% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 8.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 19.9% | 22.6% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 30.9% |
| Emily Allen | 19.7% | 22.3% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 20.7% | 21.4% |
| Marina Conde | 16.9% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.