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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.90+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.12+3.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine3.43+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.83-1.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-0.01vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands1.09+4.16vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.15+0.04vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay1.64+0.58vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles2.28-2.42vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.96+0.56vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley2.12-3.87vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon1.97-4.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.10-2.70vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.77-3.00vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-6.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Southern California3.120.1%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Hawaii3.830.2%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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11.16California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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8.04Western Washington University2.150.1%1st Place
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9.58California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Los Angeles2.280.0%1st Place
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11.56Northwestern University0.960.0%1st Place
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8.13University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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11.3University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
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12.0Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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9.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Vargas | 23.0% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dahl | 10.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 13.8% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Peterson | 21.7% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Domingos | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 15.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Morton | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Campbell | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 20.7% |
| Travis Benton | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Balter | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Connor Bescos | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 19.5% |
| Steven Cassingham | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 28.8% |
| Erik Lund | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.