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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Ingham 25.9% 22.5% 14.6% 13.0% 7.9% 6.5% 3.7% 2.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Barry 11.6% 12.8% 11.0% 10.9% 10.3% 12.3% 9.4% 7.1% 5.1% 4.0% 2.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Quentin Chafee 5.5% 5.6% 7.5% 6.4% 9.0% 6.9% 8.3% 9.9% 7.8% 9.8% 9.0% 6.4% 6.1% 1.8%
Peter Giuliano 2.3% 3.6% 4.4% 5.1% 4.9% 7.0% 7.2% 6.8% 8.2% 9.9% 9.7% 12.5% 10.0% 8.4%
Matthew Schon 5.6% 7.3% 7.8% 8.8% 9.5% 8.2% 8.8% 9.6% 9.2% 7.3% 6.8% 5.4% 3.6% 2.1%
Christian Manchester 10.0% 10.2% 11.7% 12.3% 10.6% 10.2% 7.9% 8.4% 6.5% 5.0% 4.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.1%
Reeve Dunne 3.6% 2.9% 4.4% 5.7% 4.9% 5.2% 6.6% 4.6% 9.3% 8.8% 10.1% 10.3% 13.0% 10.6%
Billy Hines 2.8% 2.7% 4.2% 3.6% 5.3% 3.7% 5.1% 7.3% 6.4% 8.0% 9.6% 12.1% 13.4% 15.8%
Conor Lodge 4.5% 3.7% 4.8% 5.1% 6.3% 6.4% 8.9% 9.0% 9.7% 9.4% 9.9% 7.9% 9.3% 5.1%
Graham Philpot 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 1.5% 1.5% 3.2% 4.4% 4.3% 5.9% 6.4% 7.9% 12.0% 14.6% 32.5%
Andrew Kurzrok 3.5% 3.4% 5.6% 5.4% 6.3% 7.7% 6.7% 7.1% 10.0% 9.4% 9.6% 9.9% 7.5% 7.9%
Will Pelleteri 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 4.0% 6.2% 6.1% 7.4% 8.7% 7.7% 9.3% 10.8% 8.5% 11.2% 10.2%
Christopher Poole 4.6% 5.1% 3.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.5% 8.0% 8.1% 9.5% 10.1% 7.4% 10.8% 8.6% 5.0%
Ben Greenfield 15.5% 15.3% 13.9% 12.0% 11.1% 10.1% 7.6% 6.4% 3.1% 1.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.