Race 5A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Harris 14.7% 16.4% 14.8% 13.6% 13.0% 11.4% 9.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Buck Rathbun 26.2% 23.1% 18.1% 13.3% 8.9% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Isabella Cho 12.7% 13.9% 13.1% 14.6% 12.8% 12.8% 10.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.2%
Robert Heath 13.0% 11.8% 14.1% 13.7% 14.8% 11.8% 11.0% 6.5% 3.0% 0.4%
Finn Deprez 12.7% 12.2% 13.1% 12.4% 13.2% 13.1% 11.3% 7.6% 4.0% 0.4%
Kevin McNeill 4.7% 5.9% 6.9% 8.7% 10.0% 11.8% 14.5% 18.4% 16.1% 3.1%
Curtis Mallory 6.1% 6.4% 7.5% 9.2% 10.1% 10.7% 13.9% 18.4% 14.3% 3.3%
Jordynn Johnson 6.7% 7.0% 7.7% 8.9% 9.4% 13.1% 14.6% 17.3% 13.0% 2.2%
Marshall Rodes 2.8% 2.8% 3.9% 4.9% 6.5% 8.2% 9.5% 14.3% 35.0% 12.2%
Colin Kenny 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 2.4% 3.9% 10.3% 77.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.