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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.79+3.13vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.11+3.37vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut2.62+3.91vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.31+0.86vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.78-1.56vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.47+1.08vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.34+0.62vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.84-1.72vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+0.02vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.77-3.53vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-4.02vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy2.81-5.79vs Predicted
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15Boston University4.07-10.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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5.13Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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6.86Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University2.470.0%1st Place
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9.62Columbia University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.28Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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8.47Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.21Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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4.39Boston University4.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ingham | 25.9% | 22.5% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Quentin Chafee | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Peter Giuliano | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% |
| Matthew Schon | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Christian Manchester | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Reeve Dunne | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% |
| Billy Hines | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 15.8% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Graham Philpot | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 32.5% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% |
| Will Pelleteri | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% |
| Christopher Poole | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.