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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University-0.27+5.97vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+3.86vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+0.84vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81-1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.03+1.50vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-2.69vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52-3.40vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.58-2.55vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.01-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Florida State University-0.273.1%1st Place
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5.86Christopher Newport University0.654.5%1st Place
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3.84University of South Florida1.0914.6%1st Place
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2.99College of Charleston1.8125.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Miami-0.033.9%1st Place
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3.31Jacksonville University-1.3822.2%1st Place
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3.6Old Dominion University1.5216.7%1st Place
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5.45Rollins College0.586.7%1st Place
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6.48North Carolina State University0.013.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tia Schoening | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 20.5% | 33.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 11.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.6% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 25.1% | 21.4% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 23.7% |
| Emily Allen | 22.2% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Marina Conde | 16.7% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 7.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.