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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.65+4.87vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.52+1.72vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.58+2.34vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81-0.97vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.03+1.53vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-2.72vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.01-0.51vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.27-1.16vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.09-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Christopher Newport University0.655.8%1st Place
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3.72Old Dominion University1.5216.1%1st Place
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5.34Rollins College0.587.3%1st Place
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3.03College of Charleston1.8124.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Miami-0.033.8%1st Place
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3.28Jacksonville University-1.3821.0%1st Place
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6.49North Carolina State University0.013.8%1st Place
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6.84Florida State University-0.273.2%1st Place
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3.9University of South Florida1.0915.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 14.1% |
| Marina Conde | 16.1% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 7.4% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 24.0% | 20.5% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 22.6% |
| Emily Allen | 21.0% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 22.6% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 30.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.1% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.