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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.37+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.86-0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota1.95+0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.31+0.68vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University1.25-0.17vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.56+0.20vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.57-3.11vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago0.49-1.31vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.56-2.80vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-0.02-2.02vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois0.38-4.03vs Predicted
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14Michigan State University-0.32-3.42vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.55-2.33vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University-0.96-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of Wisconsin2.370.1%1st Place
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2.4University of Wisconsin3.360.3%1st Place
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3.19University of Michigan2.860.2%1st Place
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5.07University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
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6.83Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.2Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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5.89Northwestern University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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8.2Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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9.98Northern Michigan University-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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10.58Michigan State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Michigan-1.550.0%1st Place
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11.75Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kinzel | 12.7% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 34.9% | 26.6% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 21.6% | 21.8% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Barbour | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Betsy Grant | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Gay | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Petersen VI | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Nachiketa Tiwari | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 18.9% | 54.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Jacobson | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 30.7% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.