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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+2.89vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.17+3.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+1.61vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.87-0.08vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.67-0.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-0.89+3.36vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.20+2.77vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.71vs Predicted
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9Colgate University-1.27+0.93vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College-1.17-0.24vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.52-6.27vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.06-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Queen's University1.890.2%1st Place
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5.4Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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4.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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3.92Cornell University1.870.2%1st Place
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4.32Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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9.77Syracuse University-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.93Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.76Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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4.73Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.61U. S. Naval Academy2.060.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 16.7% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 15.8% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 20.4% | 20.0% | 15.8% |
| Diego Becerra | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 26.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 15.8% | 20.6% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 8.5% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 22.1% | 25.2% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 22.2% | 24.5% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 11.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Linden | 19.5% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.