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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.06+2.58vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.17+3.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+1.60vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.87-0.09vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.89-1.12vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.52-1.38vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.67-2.74vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.20+1.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.89+0.33vs Predicted
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10Colgate University-1.27-0.06vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.16vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College-1.17-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58U. S. Naval Academy2.060.2%1st Place
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5.38Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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3.91Cornell University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.88Queen's University1.890.2%1st Place
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4.62Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.26Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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9.81Syracuse University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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9.94Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.84SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.85Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Linden | 19.3% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 11.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 15.6% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 15.4% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 15.0% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diego Becerra | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 19.8% | 26.4% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 21.6% | 19.9% | 19.6% | 13.1% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 22.9% | 26.7% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 15.5% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 14.2% | 9.7% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 23.1% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.