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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+1.43vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University1.25+4.56vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.86+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.37-0.85vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.95-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.31-0.29vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.56+0.27vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-0.02+0.80vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.56-1.73vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.57-5.02vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois0.38-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of Chicago0.49-4.25vs Predicted
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14Michigan State University-0.32-3.44vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.96-3.24vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.55-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Wisconsin3.360.4%1st Place
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6.56Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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3.18University of Michigan2.860.2%1st Place
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4.15University of Wisconsin2.370.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
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8.27Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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9.8Northern Michigan University-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.27Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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5.98Northwestern University1.570.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Chicago0.490.0%1st Place
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10.56Michigan State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.76Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Michigan-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 37.0% | 25.9% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 21.9% | 23.6% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 11.9% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Barbour | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.3% | 1.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Betsy Grant | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.3% | 1.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Gay | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Anna Scott | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Petersen VI | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Josh Jacobson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 25.9% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Nachiketa Tiwari | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 20.1% | 52.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.