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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+2.10vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.52+1.61vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.65+2.94vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38-0.71vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.58+0.26vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.01+0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.03-0.48vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.27-1.06vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.09-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1College of Charleston1.8121.9%1st Place
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3.61Old Dominion University1.5218.1%1st Place
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5.94Christopher Newport University0.655.3%1st Place
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3.29Jacksonville University-1.3820.9%1st Place
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5.26Rollins College0.587.4%1st Place
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6.46North Carolina State University0.014.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Miami-0.034.3%1st Place
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6.94Florida State University-0.272.5%1st Place
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3.89University of South Florida1.0915.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 21.9% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Marina Conde | 18.1% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 13.2% |
| Emily Allen | 20.9% | 20.0% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 7.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 22.7% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 22.4% |
| Tia Schoening | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 31.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.3% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.