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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.06+2.60vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.52+2.58vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.17+2.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+0.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-0.89+4.05vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.87-2.09vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-1.17+2.38vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.89-4.17vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.67-4.87vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-1.20-0.49vs Predicted
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11Colgate University-1.27-1.22vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-1.67-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6U. S. Naval Academy2.060.2%1st Place
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4.58Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.32Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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3.91Cornell University1.870.2%1st Place
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9.38Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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3.83Queen's University1.890.2%1st Place
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4.13Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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9.51Syracuse University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.78Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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10.35SUNY Stony Brook-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Linden | 18.3% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 10.1% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 9.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 20.1% | 14.0% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 9.6% |
| Ethan Andersen | 15.9% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 18.8% | 15.8% |
| Scott Gittens | 18.4% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 12.8% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Becerra | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 16.4% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 21.4% | 21.8% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.