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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+3.56vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.67+2.24vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.89+0.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.06-0.46vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.52-0.40vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.17-0.67vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.87-3.17vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-1.17+1.62vs Predicted
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9Colgate University-1.27+0.77vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-1.20-0.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-0.89-1.73vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-1.18-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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4.24Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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3.87Queen's University1.890.2%1st Place
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3.54U. S. Naval Academy2.060.2%1st Place
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4.6Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.33Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.83Cornell University1.870.2%1st Place
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9.62Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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9.77Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.66Syracuse University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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9.71SUNY Stony Brook-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Krzeszowski | 10.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 15.8% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Linden | 18.7% | 20.6% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 17.8% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 20.0% | 21.9% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 22.0% | 20.8% |
| Diego Becerra | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 20.7% |
| Jennifer Suter | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 15.0% |
| Emma Schuller | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 21.5% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.