← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.87+3.01vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.06+1.56vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University1.89+0.88vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+0.57vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.17+0.36vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.67-1.65vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy-0.89+2.25vs Predicted
-
8Columbia University1.52-3.44vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.26vs Predicted
-
10Colgate University-1.27-0.08vs Predicted
-
11Syracuse University-1.20-1.08vs Predicted
-
12Hamilton College-1.17-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.01Cornell University1.870.2%1st Place
-
3.56U. S. Naval Academy2.060.2%1st Place
-
3.88Queen's University1.890.2%1st Place
-
4.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
-
5.36Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
-
4.35Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
-
9.25U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
-
4.56Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
-
8.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
9.92Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
-
9.92Syracuse University-1.200.0%1st Place
-
9.88Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Andersen | 15.4% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Linden | 18.4% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 16.4% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 11.0% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 16.8% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 12.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 16.7% | 23.3% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 6.8% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 24.0% | 25.7% |
| Diego Becerra | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 3.9% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 21.9% | 25.9% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 22.4% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.