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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.67+3.38vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.52+2.61vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.17+2.35vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.89-0.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.06-1.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-1.46vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.20+2.71vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.87-4.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.89+0.33vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College-1.17-0.22vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.11vs Predicted
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12Colgate University-1.27-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.61Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.35Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.91Queen's University1.890.2%1st Place
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3.59U. S. Naval Academy2.060.2%1st Place
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4.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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9.71Syracuse University-1.200.0%1st Place
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3.89Cornell University1.870.2%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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9.78Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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8.89SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.01Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McKenzie | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 9.3% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 18.8% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 15.7% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Linden | 18.0% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Becerra | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 25.4% |
| Ethan Andersen | 17.5% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 20.5% | 20.4% | 12.3% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 22.2% | 23.6% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 16.4% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 10.5% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 22.6% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.