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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+2.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.06+1.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+1.59vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.87-0.03vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.67-0.64vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.52-1.32vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.20+2.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-0.89+1.29vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.17-3.72vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.31vs Predicted
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11Colgate University-1.27-0.96vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College-1.17-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Queen's University1.890.2%1st Place
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3.52U. S. Naval Academy2.060.2%1st Place
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4.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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3.97Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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4.36Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.68Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.72Syracuse University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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5.28Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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8.69SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.04Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.9Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Linden | 19.4% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 13.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 15.0% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diego Becerra | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 20.7% | 20.4% | 23.2% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 13.8% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 16.2% | 21.7% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 8.5% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 22.1% | 28.9% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 22.4% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.