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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+3.60vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.89+1.85vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.52+1.70vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.87-0.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.06-1.44vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.67-1.67vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.17-1.70vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-1.27+1.94vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.89+0.32vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.29vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.20-1.11vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College-1.17-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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3.85Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
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4.7Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.93Cornell University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Naval Academy2.060.2%1st Place
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4.33Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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5.3Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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9.94Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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8.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.89Syracuse University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.86Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Krzeszowski | 11.4% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 14.9% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 11.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 15.6% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Linden | 18.9% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 22.9% | 27.8% |
| Jennifer Suter | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 22.0% | 17.7% | 14.2% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 16.6% | 22.1% | 19.6% | 13.1% | 8.3% |
| Diego Becerra | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 19.7% | 23.5% | 24.4% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 22.1% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.