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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.06+2.55vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.52+2.55vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.87+0.91vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+0.49vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.89-1.17vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.67-1.72vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.17-1.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-0.89+0.98vs Predicted
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9Colgate University-1.27+0.60vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College-1.17-0.56vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.20-1.39vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-1.87-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55U. S. Naval Academy2.060.2%1st Place
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4.55Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.91Cornell University1.870.2%1st Place
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4.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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3.83Queen's University1.890.2%1st Place
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4.28Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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5.2Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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9.6Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.44Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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9.61Syracuse University-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.56SUNY Stony Brook-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Linden | 20.0% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 9.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 15.6% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 14.2% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 16.1% | 8.7% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 22.7% | 15.2% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 10.9% | 20.7% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 14.6% |
| Diego Becerra | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 20.8% | 18.3% |
| Jan Ziembicki | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.