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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+2.87vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.87+1.85vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.67+1.30vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+0.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.06-1.49vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.52-1.42vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.17-1.81vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-1.27+1.63vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.20+0.49vs Predicted
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10Hamilton College-1.17-0.57vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-0.89-1.88vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-1.87-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Queen's University1.890.2%1st Place
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3.85Cornell University1.870.2%1st Place
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4.3Fordham University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Naval Academy2.060.2%1st Place
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4.58Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.19Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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9.63Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.49Syracuse University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.43Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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10.55SUNY Stony Brook-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 16.0% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 15.4% | 18.1% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 13.4% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Linden | 20.0% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 22.0% | 18.7% |
| Diego Becerra | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 23.5% | 20.9% | 13.0% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 11.0% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 21.3% | 13.9% |
| Jennifer Suter | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 20.7% | 16.3% | 11.0% |
| Jan Ziembicki | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.