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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.06+2.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+2.49vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.52+1.61vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.17+1.27vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.89-1.17vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.87-2.12vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.67-2.79vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-1.27+1.61vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College-1.17+0.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-0.89-1.04vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-1.87-0.42vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-1.20-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55U. S. Naval Academy2.060.2%1st Place
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4.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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4.61Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.27Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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3.83Queen's University1.890.2%1st Place
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3.88Cornell University1.870.2%1st Place
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4.21Fordham University1.670.2%1st Place
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9.61Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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9.46Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Military Academy-0.890.0%1st Place
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10.58SUNY Stony Brook-1.870.0%1st Place
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9.54Syracuse University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Linden | 19.7% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 10.7% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 11.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 15.5% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 16.6% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott McKenzie | 15.1% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 20.6% | 18.8% |
| Zachary Baum | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 21.6% | 20.5% | 13.8% |
| Jennifer Suter | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 15.8% | 23.6% | 20.7% | 15.1% | 8.4% |
| Jan Ziembicki | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 44.4% |
| Diego Becerra | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 20.4% | 23.3% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.